Design of a diagnostic instrument to assess probabilistic thinking in high school students

Abstract

This research explores the adaptation of Marzano’s taxonomy from different levels of processing (cognitive levels) for its implementation in high school students. The study is conducted under an exploratory-descriptive mixed approach, supported by the application of a structured test as an objective evaluation instrument that allows diagnosing students’ performance levels when facing contextualized probability situations, interpretation of random events, and decision-making based on quantitative information. The objective is to design a diagnostic instrument to assess probabilistic thinking in high school students based on Marzano’s taxonomy. Furthermore, its validation through expert judgment is considered, in order to ensure content validity, clarity, and pedagogical relevance of the applied instruments. It is concluded that its development enables a more comprehensive assessment of learning, favoring the precise identification of strengths and weaknesses in probabilistic thinking, thus contributing to evaluative and didactic practices in mathematics teaching at the secondary level.