Población, Cambio Climático y Percepción del riesgo en la Región Sur Oriental. Population, Climatic Change and Perception of the risk in the Oriental South Region

Authors

  • Aimara Ferrera-Bergues Universidad de Oriente
  • Ofelia Pérez-Montero Universidad de Oriente
  • Osmany Soler-Mariño Universidad de Oriente

Keywords:

change climatic, perception of the risk, mitigation and adaptation.

Abstract

The Region of the Caribbean is frequently whipped by extreme phenomenons. The hurricanes and the earthquakes are the most frequent and those of more impact in Cuba. The component population is of vital importance in the taking of political decisions and analysis of these phenomenons. The excess of the population's trust in front of the threat, the belief of not being affected, the lack of experiences and previous vivencia, as well as the insufficient information is among the causes that generate different tendencies in the perception of the risk. In this article we have as objective to know the demographic characteristics of the population of this region and the possible causes that influence in the perception of the population's risk in the face of the environmental risks. The necessity to improve the systems of alert early and communication of environmental risks, to perfect the education plans in topics of administration of risk, they are some of the opposing more important aspects during this investigation.

References

AMA - Agencia de Medio Ambiente (2014) Peligros y Vulnerabilidades costera 2050-2100 Macro proyecto http://www.ama.cu/index.php/programa-ramal/macroproyecto.Accessed 25 February 2015

Baker J, Shaw D, Bell D Brody S, Riddel M, Woodward R, Neilson W (2009) Explaining Subjective Risks of Hurricanes and the Role of Risks in Intended Moving and Location Choice Models. Natural HazardsReview 10:102-112

Bayón P (2012) EL pensamiento geográfico y la percepción de riesgo por peligros naturales: Contribución a la formación ambiental local. IV Congreso de Geografía Tropical, La Habana Mayo 2012. http://biblioteca.filosofia.cu/php/export.php?format=htm&id=2690&view=1. Accessed 25 February 2015

Becken S, Mahon R, Rennie H, Shakeela A (2014). The tourism disaster vulnerability framework: an application to tourism in small island destinations. Natural Hazards 71(1): 955-972

Blake E, Kimberlain T, Berg R, Cangialosi J, Beven J (2012). Tropical Cyclone Report, Hurricane Sandy (AL182012) 22-29 October 2012. www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182012_Sandy.pdf. Accessed 24 February 2015

BERMÚDEZ, FERNÁNDEZ (2012) “El potencial científico cubano en el enfrentamiento al cambio climático”. En: Memorias del Octavo Congreso Internacional de Educación Superior UNIVERSIDAD 2012. La Habana.

Centro Nacional de Investigaciones Sismológicas (CENAIS) (2012) Terremotos Históricos Reportados en Cuba. www.cenais.cu/index.php/terremotos-fuertes-reportados-en-cuba. Accessed 25 February 2015

Cotilla M, Franzke H, Cordoba D (2007) Seismicity and seismoactive faults of Cuba. Russian Geology and Geophysics 48:505-522

Cotilla M, Córdoba D (2010) Notes on three earthquakes in Santiago de Cuba

(14.10.1800, 18.09.1826, 07.07.1842). Russian Geology and Geophysics 51: 228–236

Cotilla M, Córdoba D (2010a) The August 20, 1852 earthquake in Santiago de Cuba. Russian Geology and Geophysics 51: 1227–1246

Emanuel K (2013) Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110 (30): 12219-24

Grayson J, Pang W (2014) The Influence of Community-wide Hurricane Wind Hazard Mitigation Retrofits on Community Resilience. In: Bell G, Card M (eds.) Structures Congress 2014, Boston, Massachusetts, pp 1392-1402

Ho M-C, Shaw D, Lin S, Chiu Y-C (2008) How do disaster characteristics influence risk perception?. Risk Analysis 28(3):635–643

IPCC (2013) Climate Change 2013. Summary for Policymakers. http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf. Accessed 25 February 2015

IPF (2009). I nforme técnico del Proyecto 11. Evaluación del impacto y vulnerabilidad de los asentamientos costeros por efecto del Cambio Climático y eventos meteorológicos severos a los años 2050 y 2100. La Habana, Primera parte, 69 pp. 12.

IPF (2010). Informe técnico del Proyecto 11 Evaluación del impacto y vulnerabilidad de los asentamientos costeros por efecto del Cambio Climático y eventos meteorológicos severos a los años 2050 y 2100 . La Habana, Segunda parte, 67 pp.

Lauren M, Wang Y, Letchford C, Rosowsky D (2014) Assessing Climate Change Impact on the U.S. East Coast Hurricane Hazard: Temperature, Frequency, and Track. Natural Hazards Review. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000128

Lawrence J, Quade D, Becker J (2014) Integrating the effects of flood experience on risk perception with responses to changing climate risk. Natural Hazards 74(3):1773-1794

López C, Núñez L (2011) Percepción del peligro de la población cubana, para los estudios de peligro, vulnerabilidad y riesgo (tres provincias occidentales).Revista electrónica Novedades en población 7(13). http://www.novpob.uh.cu/index.php/rnp/article/view/132/131. Accessed 25 February 2015

Luo Y, Shaw R, Lin H, Joerin J (2014) Assessing response behavior of debris-flows affected communities in Kaohsiung, Taiwan. Natural Hazards 74(3):1429-1448

Milanés C (2015) La experiencia de la Región Sur Oriental de Cuba en el enfrentamiento al cambio Climático.Arquitectura y Urbanismo, vol. XXXVI, no 2, mayo-agosto, 2015, pp. 120-127, ISSN 1815-5898

Ministerio de Ciencia Tecnología y Medio Ambiente (CITMA) (2012) Informe de Evaluación del Impacto Ambiental de Desastre provocado por el Huracán Sandy en la provincia de Santiago de Cuba, Santiago de Cuba, 42 p

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) (2013) Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.National Hurricane

Center.http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. Accessed 25 February 2015

Oficina Nacional de Estadística e Información (ONE) (2013) Anuário Estadístico de Cuba 2013. http://www.one.cu/aec2013/20080618index.htm. Accessed 23 february 2015

Parmeshwar S, Scott J, Shaller P, Doroudian M, Peraza D, Morgan T (2014) Estimating the Storm Surge Recurrence Interval for Hurricane Sandy. In:Wayne H (ed.) World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2014: Water without Borders, Portland: 1906-1915.

PLANAS, ABELARDO José et al. (2014) “Cambio climático en la actividad turística y el impacto del turismo en la zona costera de la Provincia Santiago de Cuba”. Informe inédito. Delegación territorial del CITMA, Santiago de Cuba, 12 p.

Schad I, Schmitter P, Saint-Macary C, Neef A, Lamers M, Nguyen L, Hilger T, Hoffmann V (2012) Why do people not learn from flood disasters? Evidence from Vietnam’s northwestern mountains. Natural Hazards 62:221-241

Published

2018-11-09

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 6 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.